The post XRP Retests 21-Month EMA, Echoing 2017 Pattern Amid ETF Inflows appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. XRP is retesting the 21-month EMA in December 2025The post XRP Retests 21-Month EMA, Echoing 2017 Pattern Amid ETF Inflows appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. XRP is retesting the 21-month EMA in December 2025

XRP Retests 21-Month EMA, Echoing 2017 Pattern Amid ETF Inflows

2025/12/13 13:19
  • XRP nears the 21-month EMA, a critical support level last tested before the 2017 surge to all-time highs.

  • Spot ETFs for XRP have seen 19 days of consistent inflows, boosting institutional demand and liquidity.

  • Whale activity and wrapped XRP launches on Solana contribute to evolving market dynamics amid Bitcoin’s rise above $92,000.

XRP retests 21-month EMA in 2025, echoing 2017 bull run setup. ETF inflows hit $971M as market strengthens—explore if history repeats with potential ATH ahead. Stay informed on crypto trends.

What Is the Significance of XRP Retesting the 21-Month EMA?

XRP retesting the 21-month EMA signals a potential repeat of historical patterns, as seen in late 2017 when the token bounced from this level to reach all-time highs in January 2018. Currently trading around $2.03, XRP approaches this exponential moving average amid steady trading volumes of $2.87 billion and a market cap of $122.42 billion. Analysts monitor this test closely, noting that holding above the trendline could pave the way for significant gains in early 2026.

How Are XRP Spot ETF Inflows Influencing Current Market Trends?

XRP spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have recorded inflows for 19 consecutive days, with the latest figure at $16.42 million on December 11, 2025, pushing cumulative inflows to approximately $970.75 million. This sustained demand from institutional investors underscores growing confidence in XRP as a regulated investment vehicle. Data from market trackers indicate that these inflows correlate with increased liquidity, helping stabilize prices during the EMA retest. Broader market strength, including Bitcoin surpassing $92,000 and Ethereum above $3,200, further supports XRP’s position. Whale sales of 280 million XRP last week, as reported by market analysts, reflect profit-taking but have not derailed the upward momentum. Additionally, the launch of wrapped XRP on Solana via LayerZero by Hex Trust expands interoperability, enabling DeFi applications and cross-chain transfers that could enhance adoption.

XRP retests the 21-month EMA as analysts track a pattern similar to 2017 while ETF inflows and broader market strength support active trading.

  • XRP retests the 21-month EMA in 2025, echoing the setup seen before the 2017 all-time high.
  • Spot ETFs show 19 days of steady inflows, lifting demand for regulated exposure to the asset.
  • Broader crypto strength and whale sales shape current market flows as wrapped XRP expands use.

XRP trades above the $2 level as traders watch a long-term structure that many compare with the move seen in late 2017. The token tested the 21-month EMA in December 2017 before a move to all-time highs in January 2018. The chart now shows a similar EMA test in December 2025, and the creator asks if the market may repeat that pattern as long as the trendline holds during the next twenty days.

Long-Term Market Pattern and Structural Levels

XRP trades near $2.03 after moving within a narrow band between $1.99 and $2.05. Coingecko data shows steady liquidity with a trading volume of $2.87 billion, while the market cap remains near $122.42 billion. The intraday chart shows a rise toward $2.06 before a move back to $2.02, and the price later settles near the upper part of the range.


Source: Coingecko

The long-term chart follows XRP from 2014 up to 2025 and depicts a rising base with increasing lows. The market forms a wide consolidation range during 2015 and 2016 before breaking above resistance in 2017. The candles move above the 21-month EMA and touch it again during December 2017.

$XRP – Back in Dec 2017, we tested 21m EMA then bounce to All Time Highs (ATHs) in Jan 2018
Dec 2025, we are now testing 21m EMA. Will we copy Jan 2018 & bounce to ATHs in Jan 2026?
IF trendline holds in 20 days, I expect ATH in Q1 2026, then Rug Pull CRASH!
RT for updates!… pic.twitter.com/AYrlBxyKVE

— JD 🇵🇭 (@jaydee_757) December 12, 2025

XRP again approaches a horizontal resistance area during 2024 and early 2025. The candles also return to the 21-month EMA in December 2025, and the chart labels this move as a repeat of the 2017 test. According to JayDee, “If the trendline holds in 20 days, I expect ATH in Q1 2026.”

ETF Activity and Broader Market Developments

XRP Spot ETFs record 19 straight days of inflows. The daily inflow reached $16.42 million on December 11th, and total inflows stand near $970.75 million. This trend shows steady interest in regulated products that provide exposure to XRP.


Source: AliCharts(X)

The wider crypto market also shows renewed strength as Bitcoin moves above $92,000 and Ethereum trades above $3,200. Other large assets, including Solana, Cardano, Chainlink, and Dogecoin, also move higher.

According to Ali Charts, whales sold 280 million XRP during the last week, and this event forms part of recent trading flows. Hex Trust also launches wrapped XRP on Solana through LayerZero, and the project aims to expand XRP use across DeFi and cross-chain systems.

Frequently Asked Questions

What Does XRP’s 21-Month EMA Retest Mean for Long-Term Investors?

The 21-month EMA retest for XRP indicates a pivotal support level that historically preceded major rallies, as in 2017. Investors should watch for a bounce if the price holds above this EMA, potentially signaling entry points amid ETF-driven demand and market recovery.

Why Are XRP ETF Inflows Continuing for 19 Days Straight?

XRP ETF inflows persist due to rising institutional interest in secure, regulated access to the asset. With daily additions like $16.42 million, these funds reflect broader confidence in XRP’s utility in payments and DeFi, aligning with crypto market uptrends for natural voice search responses.

Key Takeaways

  • XRP EMA Pattern Similarity: The current 21-month EMA test mirrors 2017, offering potential for historical repetition if support endures.
  • ETF Inflow Impact: Nineteen days of inflows totaling $970.75 million bolster XRP’s liquidity and institutional appeal.
  • Market Expansion: Wrapped XRP on Solana via LayerZero opens new DeFi avenues, enhancing cross-chain utility.

Conclusion

As XRP retests the 21-month EMA, the asset draws parallels to its 2017 trajectory, supported by robust XRP spot ETF inflows and a strengthening crypto ecosystem. Market data from sources like Coingecko and Ali Charts highlight sustained volumes and whale dynamics shaping the landscape. Looking ahead, maintaining key trendlines could position XRP for notable advancements, encouraging traders to monitor developments closely for informed decisions.

Source: https://en.coinotag.com/xrp-retests-21-month-ema-echoing-2017-pattern-amid-etf-inflows

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Next XRP ‘Monster Leg’ Will Start No Earlier Than 2026: Analyst

Next XRP ‘Monster Leg’ Will Start No Earlier Than 2026: Analyst

An XRP/BTC long-term chart shared by pseudonymous market technician Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) points to a delayed—but potentially explosive—upswing for XRP versus Bitcoin, with the analyst arguing that “the next monster leg up” cannot begin before early 2026 if key Ichimoku conditions are to be satisfied on the highest time frames. Posting a two-month (2M) XRP/BTC chart with Ichimoku overlays and date markers for September/October, November/December and January/February, Dr Cat framed the setup around the position of the Chikou Span (CS) relative to price candles and the Tenkan-sen. “Based on the 2M chart I expect the next monster leg up to start no earlier than 2026,” he wrote. “Because the logical time for CS to get free above the candles is Jan/Feb 2026 on an open basis and March 2026 on a close basis, respectively.” XRP/BTC Breakout Window Opens Only In 2026 In Ichimoku methodology, the CS—price shifted back 26 periods—clearing above historical candles and the Tenkan-sen (conversion line) is used to confirm the transition from equilibrium to trending conditions. That threshold, in Dr Cat’s view, hinges on XRP/BTC defending roughly 2,442 sats (0.00002442 BTC). “As you see, the price needs to hold 2442 so that CS is both above the candles and Tenkan Sen,” he said. Related Reading: Facts Vs. Hype: Analyst Examines XRP Supply Shock Theory Should that condition be met, the analyst sees the market “logically” targeting the next major resistance band first around ~7,000 sats, with an extended 2026 objective in a 7,000–12,000 sats corridor on the highest time frames. “If that happens, solely looking at the 2M timeframe the logical thing is to attack the next resistance at ~7K,” he wrote, before adding: “Otherwise on highest timeframes everything still looks excellent and points to 7K–12K in 2026, until further notice.” The roadmap is not without nearer-term risks. Dr Cat flagged a developing signal on the weekly Ichimoku cloud: “One more thing to keep an eye on till then: the weekly chart. Which, if doesn’t renew the yearly high by November/December will get a bearish kumo twist. Which still may not be the end of the world but still deserves attention. So one more evaluation is needed at late 2025 I guess.” A bearish kumo twist—when Senkou Span A crosses below Senkou Span B—can foreshadow a medium-term loss of momentum or a period of consolidation before trend resumption. The discussion quickly turned to the real-world impact of the satoshi-denominated targets. When asked what ~7,000 sats might mean in dollar terms, the analyst cautioned that the conversion floats with Bitcoin’s price but offered a rough yardstick for today’s market. “In current BTC prices are roughly $7.8,” he replied. The figure is illustrative rather than predictive: XRP’s USD price at any future XRP/BTC level will depend on BTC’s own USD value at that time. The posted chart—which annotates the likely windows for CS clearance as “Jan/Feb open CS free” and “March close” following interim checkpoints in September/October and November/December—underscores the time-based nature of the call. On multi-month Ichimoku settings, the lagging span has to “work off” past price structure before a clean upside trend confirmation is possible; forcing the move earlier would, in this framework, risk a rejection back into the cloud or beneath the Tenkan-sen. Contextually, XRP/BTC has been basing in a broad range since early 2024 after a multi-year downtrend from the 2021 peak, with intermittent upside probes failing to reclaim the more consequential resistances that sit thousands of sats higher. The 2,442-sats area Dr Cat highlights aligns with the need to keep the lagging span above both contemporaneous price and the conversion line, a condition that tends to reduce whipsaws on very high time frames. Related Reading: Analyst Sounds Major XRP Warning: Last Chance To Get In As Accumulation Balloons Whether the market ultimately delivers the 7,000–12,000 sats advance in 2026 will, by this read, depend on two things: XRP/BTC’s ability to hold above the ~2,442-sats pivot as the calendar turns through early 2026, and the weekly chart avoiding or quickly invalidating a bearish kumo twist if new yearly highs are not set before November/December. “If that happens… the logical thing is to attack the next resistance at ~7K,” Dr Cat concludes, while stressing that the weekly cloud still “deserves attention.” As with any Ichimoku-driven thesis, the emphasis is on alignment across time frames and the interaction of price with the system’s five lines—Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, Senkou Spans A and B (the “kumo” cloud), and the Chikou Span. Dr Cat’s thread leans on the lagging span mechanics to explain why an earlier “monster leg” is statistically less likely, and why the second half of 2025 will be a critical checkpoint before any 2026 trend attempt. For now, the takeaway is a timeline rather than an imminent trigger: the analyst’s base case defers any outsized XRP outperformance versus Bitcoin until after the CS clears historical overhead in early 2026, with interim monitoring of the weekly cloud into year-end. As he summed up, “On highest timeframes everything still looks excellent… until further notice.” At press time, XRP traded at $3.119. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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