Early Bitcoin investor Michael Terpin said Bitcoin may bottom out around $60,000 in Q4 2026, potentially creating a long‑term buying opportunity ahead of what he expects to be a powerful accumulation phase in 2028 and 2029, following the next Bitcoin halving cycle.Early Bitcoin investor Michael Terpin said Bitcoin may bottom out around $60,000 in Q4 2026, potentially creating a long‑term buying opportunity ahead of what he expects to be a powerful accumulation phase in 2028 and 2029, following the next Bitcoin halving cycle.

Michael Terpin: Bitcoin Could Bottom Near $60K in Q4 2026 Before Major Accumulation Phase

2026/01/01 20:19
Haber Özeti
Early Bitcoin investor Michael Terpin said Bitcoin may bottom out around $60,000 in Q4 2026, potentially creating a long‑term buying opportunity ahead of what he expects to be a powerful accumulation phase in 2028 and 2029, following the next Bitcoin halving cycle.

Early Bitcoin investor Michael Terpin said Bitcoin may bottom out around $60,000 in Q4 2026, potentially creating a long‑term buying opportunity ahead of what he expects to be a powerful accumulation phase in 2028 and 2029, following the next Bitcoin halving cycle.

Terpin’s Market Outlook

Terpin’s thesis is rooted in Bitcoin’s historical four‑year halving cycles, where:

  • Prices often peak roughly 12–18 months after a halving
  • A prolonged correction and consolidation phase follows
  • Deep accumulation typically begins well ahead of the next halving

Under this framework, Terpin sees 2026 as a late‑cycle trough before the market resets for another multi‑year advance.

Why ~$60,000?

While emphasizing that exact bottoms are impossible to predict, Terpin suggested the ~$60K level could represent:

  • A psychologically important support zone
  • A level where long‑term holders and institutions may step in
  • A valuation consistent with prior cycle drawdowns relative to previous highs

Looking Toward 2028–2029

According to Terpin, the most aggressive accumulation may not occur immediately after a bottom, but rather during the pre‑halving period:

  • 2028–2029 could see large‑scale institutional and sovereign accumulation
  • Supply dynamics tighten as issuance declines
  • Long‑term narratives around Bitcoin as digital gold and a macro hedge strengthen

Market Implications

  • Long‑term investors may view extended weakness as strategic accumulation time
  • Short‑term volatility is likely to persist throughout the cycle reset
  • Halving dynamics remain a key structural driver despite evolving market maturity

A Note of Caution

Terpin stressed that his outlook represents a long‑term macro view, not a short‑term trading call. Macroeconomic conditions, regulation, and unexpected shocks could materially alter the timeline.

Still, the core message is clear: if history rhymes, the most compelling Bitcoin accumulation window may arrive well before the next halving, with Q4 2026 potentially marking a major inflection point.

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