The post Bitcoin Breaks $119,000: Analyst Says $139,000 Could Be Next appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could target $139,000 next, according to this on-chain pricing bands model. Bitcoin Has Broken Past 0.5 SD MVRV Deviation Band In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about where Bitcoin may be heading next based on the MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands. This pricing model is based on the popular Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, an indicator that compares the market cap of Bitcoin against its realized cap. The former represents the value currently held by the BTC investors, while the latter is a measure of the value that they initially put in. As such, the MVRV Ratio basically represents the profit-loss balance of the overall network. When the value of the metric is greater than 1, it means the market cap is greater than the realized cap and the average investor is sitting on an unrealized gain. On the other hand, it being under the threshold suggests the investors as a whole may be considered underwater. The MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands takes the mean of the MVRV Ratio and calculates standard deviations (SDs) from it. It then determines price levels that correspond to these standard deviations. Below is the chart for this Bitcoin pricing model shared by the analyst. As is visible in the graph, the mean of the MVRV Ratio is currently situated at $94,650 in the model. What this means is that if Bitcoin declines to this level, the MVRV Ratio would attain a value equal to its mean. During BTC’s recent decline, its price slipped below the +0.5 SD level of $116,700. With the latest recovery run, however, it has smashed past it. The next level on the model is the +1 SD, located at $138,800. Bitcoin has surged above this… The post Bitcoin Breaks $119,000: Analyst Says $139,000 Could Be Next appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could target $139,000 next, according to this on-chain pricing bands model. Bitcoin Has Broken Past 0.5 SD MVRV Deviation Band In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about where Bitcoin may be heading next based on the MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands. This pricing model is based on the popular Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, an indicator that compares the market cap of Bitcoin against its realized cap. The former represents the value currently held by the BTC investors, while the latter is a measure of the value that they initially put in. As such, the MVRV Ratio basically represents the profit-loss balance of the overall network. When the value of the metric is greater than 1, it means the market cap is greater than the realized cap and the average investor is sitting on an unrealized gain. On the other hand, it being under the threshold suggests the investors as a whole may be considered underwater. The MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands takes the mean of the MVRV Ratio and calculates standard deviations (SDs) from it. It then determines price levels that correspond to these standard deviations. Below is the chart for this Bitcoin pricing model shared by the analyst. As is visible in the graph, the mean of the MVRV Ratio is currently situated at $94,650 in the model. What this means is that if Bitcoin declines to this level, the MVRV Ratio would attain a value equal to its mean. During BTC’s recent decline, its price slipped below the +0.5 SD level of $116,700. With the latest recovery run, however, it has smashed past it. The next level on the model is the +1 SD, located at $138,800. Bitcoin has surged above this…

Bitcoin Breaks $119,000: Analyst Says $139,000 Could Be Next

2025/10/03 10:18

A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could target $139,000 next, according to this on-chain pricing bands model.

Bitcoin Has Broken Past 0.5 SD MVRV Deviation Band

In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about where Bitcoin may be heading next based on the MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands. This pricing model is based on the popular Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, an indicator that compares the market cap of Bitcoin against its realized cap.

The former represents the value currently held by the BTC investors, while the latter is a measure of the value that they initially put in. As such, the MVRV Ratio basically represents the profit-loss balance of the overall network.

When the value of the metric is greater than 1, it means the market cap is greater than the realized cap and the average investor is sitting on an unrealized gain. On the other hand, it being under the threshold suggests the investors as a whole may be considered underwater.

The MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands takes the mean of the MVRV Ratio and calculates standard deviations (SDs) from it. It then determines price levels that correspond to these standard deviations. Below is the chart for this Bitcoin pricing model shared by the analyst.

As is visible in the graph, the mean of the MVRV Ratio is currently situated at $94,650 in the model. What this means is that if Bitcoin declines to this level, the MVRV Ratio would attain a value equal to its mean.

During BTC’s recent decline, its price slipped below the +0.5 SD level of $116,700. With the latest recovery run, however, it has smashed past it. The next level on the model is the +1 SD, located at $138,800.

Bitcoin has surged above this band twice in the current cycle so far, with a top following for the cryptocurrency shortly after each break. The explanation behind the trend could lie in the fact that investors become more likely to participate in profit-taking selloffs the higher their gains get.

The MVRV Ratio being 1 SD above its mean corresponds to holder gains being notably higher than the norm. As such, it’s not surprising to see that BTC topped out shortly after crossing the threshold during both of the 2024 breakouts.

It now remains to be seen whether this latest surge above the +0.5 SD level will lead Bitcoin to another retest of the +1 SD band, or if the run will fizzle out before it can happen.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has witnessed a recovery run of almost 7% over the last week that has taken its price to the $119,200 level.

Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-breaks-119000-analyst-139000-could-next/

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact [email protected] for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.
Share Insights

You May Also Like

ETH Whales Rebuild as Outflows Trim Supply, Price Retests $4K

ETH Whales Rebuild as Outflows Trim Supply, Price Retests $4K

The post ETH Whales Rebuild as Outflows Trim Supply, Price Retests $4K appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Ethereum whales add 218K ETH, reversing mid-October sell-offs and signaling renewed confidence. Exchange outflows rise as investors move ETH to private wallets, hinting at long-term holding. ETH holds near $3,900 amid lower trading volumes, reflecting consolidation after strong October gains. Santiment shows wallets holding 100 to 10,000 ETH re-accumulated roughly 218,470 ETH over the past week. That buying offsets a slice of the ~1.36 million ETH these cohorts sold between October 5 and 16.  Whales Reverse Course and Add 218K ETH After Mid-October Selling The flip from distribution to accumulation restores part of the liquidity removed earlier in the month and sets a more constructive backdrop if demand persists. 🐳🦈 Ethereum whales and sharks holding between 100 to 10,000 $ETH are finally showing some signs of confidence. After -1.36M was dumped by this group between October 5th and 16th, they have added back close to 1/6th of it since. Positive sign for crypto’s #2 market cap. pic.twitter.com/tg1BWu60Lq — Santiment (@santimentfeed) October 24, 2025 The add-back equals about one-sixth of what was sold, a cadence often seen during range repair after sharp pullbacks. The shift lines up with steady staking participation and consistent dApp activity, factors that help anchor ETH fundamentals while price compresses. Related: Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Tests Recovery as Liquidity Clusters Build Above $4,200 Exchange Outflows Point to Self-Custody and Longer Holds Additional data from CoinGlass gives further insight into investor behavior. The ETH Spot Inflow/Outflow chart recorded heightened movement throughout mid-October, with alternating waves of deposits and withdrawals reflecting a tug-of-war between short-term traders and accumulating investors.  Notably, outflow spikes, indicating transfers from exchanges to private wallets, have increased in recent weeks, aligning with Santiment’s findings on accumulation. Ethereum’s price trend has remained resilient through these shifts. The asset’s value climbed from under $2,000 in early 2025…
Share
2025/10/25 20:37