Bitcoin draws interest as Metaplanet targets 1% by 2027

Metaplanet plans to lock up roughly 1% of Bitcoin’s capped supply by end-2027, a target of about 210,000 BTC, as reported by the Financial Times (https://www.ft.com/). The firm has pivoted toward a Bitcoin treasury model and is seeking more than ¥770 billion (~$5.4 billion) via share issuance to fund purchases.

Based on data from HTX (https://www.htx.com/), Metaplanet has acquired 35,102 BTC with an estimated cost near $3.78 billion and a market value around $3.08 billion following a price pullback. The figures illustrate both the scale and the execution risk embedded in the plan.

The strategy concentrates exposure to a provably scarce asset while attempting to leverage Bitcoin as collateral for broader corporate initiatives. In principle, accumulating at scale can enhance balance-sheet optionality and signal long-term alignment with digital asset infrastructure.

Management’s framing emphasizes pace and positioning in a competitive accumulation cycle. “This is part of a ‘bitcoin gold rush’ aimed at reaching ‘escape velocity’ in BTC holdings,” said Simon Gerovich, CEO of Metaplanet.

Pursuing the target requires repeated equity issuance, which can dilute existing holders if BTC acquired per new share does not exceed the dilution effect. Accretion depends on raise pricing, issuance structure, and purchase execution.

Large Bitcoin drawdowns would pressure net asset value and could compress any share price premium to underlying holdings. Conversely, rapid rallies can improve optics but may raise the cost of incremental accumulation if issuance terms deteriorate.

Funding mechanics, institutional views, and investor checkpoints

Capital stack: equity issuance, preferreds/warrants, BTC-collateralized loans

Funding avenues appear to include common equity, preferred shares and warrants, and potential BTC-collateralized borrowing. Equity can scale quickly but dilutes; preferreds/warrants tailor cost of capital; secured loans introduce collateral and liquidity management risks.

Issuance sequencing matters. When raises are executed at favorable valuations and converted efficiently into BTC, the Bitcoin-per-share metric can rise. Tight treasury controls are critical to avoid adverse selection across funding windows.

Institutional views and checkpoints: Standard Chartered warnings; raise cadence, approvals, NAV premium/discount

Standard Chartered has warned that strategies of this type face elevated risks from high equity issuance, financing conditions, and shareholder dilution. The bank’s caution highlights the need to track execution closely.

Investor checkpoints may include the cadence and size of equity events, required regulatory approvals in Japan, and the persistence of any market premium or discount to net Bitcoin per share. Monitoring treasury disclosures and issuance terms helps contextualize per-share outcomes.

At the time of this writing, Bitcoin traded near $69,730, with a 14‑day RSI around 37 and roughly 12% recent volatility. Such conditions can amplify short-term swings in reported NAV.

How many BTC does Metaplanet currently hold and what is its estimated cost basis versus market value?

Approximately 35,102 BTC; estimated cost near $3.78 billion and market value around $3.08 billion after a pullback, based on HTX figures.

How will Metaplanet finance additional Bitcoin purchases and what does that mean for shareholder dilution?

Primarily through equity issuance, with potential preferreds, warrants, and BTC‑collateralized loans. Dilution depends on whether each raise increases Bitcoin-per-share after funding and execution costs.