Ethereum (ETH) price action is compressing near $2,200–$2,300 as the market weighs short-term relief against deeper downside targets.Ethereum (ETH) price action is compressing near $2,200–$2,300 as the market weighs short-term relief against deeper downside targets.

Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction: ETH Tests $2,000 Support as Divergence Hints at Relief, but Downside Risk Persists

4 min read

Ethereum price has come back into focus as price action compresses while challenging a major support zone between $2,200 and $2,000, an area that has repeatedly attracted buying interest on higher timeframes. In recent weeks, ETH has continued to print lower lows, while downside momentum has been very strong.

As of February 4, 2026, the Ethereum price today is trading around $2000, according to Brave New Coin data, reflecting modest intraday movement instead of a decisive reversal. This momentum shows a broader corrective move that pulled ETH significantly lower from recent highs, placing the price back into a historically important demand zone.

Weekly Demand Zone Defines Ethereum’s Broader Trend

On higher timeframes, price is now testing a major weekly demand zone between roughly $2,200 and $2,000, an area that has repeatedly influenced trend direction since 2023. This region has historically acted as a base during corrective phases but has also marked trend failure when broader liquidity conditions deteriorated.

Ethereum tests a decisive weekly demand zone near $2,200–$2,300, with structure hanging in balance. Source: Cyril-DeFi via X

A longer-term view shared by Cyril-DeFi frames this zone as decisive. Holding above it would keep Ethereum’s broader structure intact and allow for stabilization or a corrective rebound. A sustained breakdown, however, would expose deeper downside levels, with $1,800–$1,600 emerging as the next major demand pocket. For now, ETH remains compressed within this range, signaling indecision.

Ethereum Price Outlook

Ethereum’s short-term structure suggests continued vulnerability despite the recent consolidation. Price is currently compressing below the $2,350–$2,380 resistance zone, an area highlighted on the chart as a potential liquidity manipulation region. Multiple equal highs and stalled advances indicate resting liquidity above this range, increasing the probability of a brief sweep higher before any decisive move unfolds.

Ethereum compresses below the $2,350–$2,380 resistance zone, with liquidity resting overhead and downside targets near $2,200 and $2,050–$2,000. Source: Jip Molenaar via X

Jip Molenaar’s setup favors downside expansion after a trigger, rather than immediate continuation higher. As outlined in the image, failure to establish acceptance above resistance keeps ETH exposed to a move back towards the $2,200 level initially, with further downside risk extending towards the $2,050–$2,000 demand zone.

Bullish Divergence Starting to Appear on Lower Time Frames

While structure remains heavy, momentum signals are beginning to diverge from price. A recent chart shared by DrBullZeus points to a developing complex bullish divergence on momentum indicators, suggesting that selling pressure may be losing strength even as price remains under pressure.

Bullish divergence is forming on lower time frames, hinting at fading selling pressure and the potential for short-term stabilization. Source: DrBullZeus via X

Historically, similar divergence setups have often preceded periods of consolidation or short-term relief rallies rather than immediate trend reversals. As a result, while downside risk cannot be dismissed, the probability of a sharp continuation lower appears more limited unless Ethereum decisively loses its current demand zone.

Ethereum Leads On-Chain Lending Activity

Beyond price action, Ethereum’s on-chain fundamentals continue to show resilience. Data highlighted by Jesse Peralta shows that Ethereum’s active loans have surpassed $28 billion, reinforcing ETH’s dominance in decentralized lending and borrowing markets.

Ethereum’s active on-chain loans have climbed above $28B. Source: Jesse Peralta via X

This level of activity places Ethereum well ahead of competing networks. Historically, periods where on-chain utilization remains strong during price drawdowns have often aligned with longer-term accumulation phases rather than structural decay.

Macro + Ethereum: Liquidity Conditions Still Drive Direction

Ethereum’s near-term trajectory remains closely tied to broader crypto liquidity conditions. As a high-beta asset relative to Bitcoin, ETH has historically underperformed during risk-off phases and recovered strongly once liquidity expands.

Rising borrowing activity suggests that capital remains engaged within Ethereum’s ecosystem, but price direction will still depend on whether broader market conditions stabilize. Without a meaningful improvement in liquidity and risk appetite, Ethereum’s recovery attempts may remain corrective rather than impulsive.

Final Thoughts: What Next for Ethereum?

Ethereum price now sits at a critical junction where structure, liquidity, and confirmation matter. With price compressing below key resistance and downside targets still technically valid, the next meaningful move is likely to be defined by how ETH reacts around the $2,200–$2,000 zone.

As long as ETH holds above the $2,000 demand zone, consolidation or a short-term bounce remains possible. A sustained loss of this region would shift focus towards $1,800–$1,600, where longer-term buyers previously emerged. On the upside, reclaiming $2,400–$2,500 with volume would be the first step towards restoring bullish structure.

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