Why Is Crypto Up Today? – January 2, 2026
The crypto market is modestly higher today, with total market capitalization rising about 1.4% over the past 24 hours to roughly $3.1 trillion. Despite the improvement in prices, trading activity remains relatively soft, with 24-hour volume near $70.6 billion, pointing to selective participation rather than broad risk-on behavior.
TLDR:
- The crypto market cap rose about 1.4% over the past 24 hours to roughly $3.1 trillion;
- Major coins traded mixed but mostly higher, with BTC near $88,960;
- Altcoins outperformed, with Pepe, Monad, and Holoworld posting double-digit gains;
- CryptoQuant says Bitcoin may already be two months into a bear market;
- Bitcoin’s key support is at $88,000 and resistance near $92,000;
- Ethereum could rally toward $3,200 and has downside risk back to $2,800;
- Market sentiment remains cautious, with the Fear and Greed Index at 34;
- There was no US spot ETF data on Jan. 1 due to market closure;
- Crypto hack losses fell sharply in December, down 60% month-on-month to about $76 million.
Crypto Winners & Losers
Performance across the top cryptocurrencies by market capitalization is mixed, though most large caps are holding near recent ranges.
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $88,960, little changed on the day, but still up about 1.5% over the past 24 hours.
Ethereum (ETH) is slightly lower on the hour but higher on the day, trading near $3,024 after gaining roughly 1.6% in the last 24 hours and extending its weekly advance.
BNB (BNB) is among the stronger large-cap performers, rising about 1% to $867, while Solana (SOL) is up roughly 2.5% on the day, trading near $127.3 and outperforming several peers.
XRP (XRP) is modestly higher, gaining around 1.7% to $1.87, while TRON (TRX) has added about 0.3%, holding near $0.285.
Dogecoin (DOGE) stands out as one of the stronger movers in the top 10, jumping more than 8% to trade around $0.128.
Outside the majors, activity is more pronounced. Among trending tokens, Lighter has gained nearly 8%, while Pepe is up close to 25%, extending its recent momentum. Monad is also higher, posting gains of more than 17%.
Among the top gainers overall, Holoworld leads with a surge of over 30%, followed closely by River and Clash of Lilliput, both posting gains above 25% in the past 24 hours.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin may have already slipped into a bear market roughly two months ago, according to CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, who points to a cluster of technical and on-chain indicators that turned bearish in early November and have yet to recover.
Moreno said the majority of signals behind CryptoQuant’s bull score index have been flashing warning signs for weeks.
The index, which ranges from 0 to 100, tracks a mix of metrics including network activity, investor profitability, Bitcoin demand, and overall market liquidity.
Bitcoin Holds $88K as 2026 Opens With Light Volume and Rising Risk Appetite
Bitcoin hovered near $88,000 on Friday as markets eased into the first trading session of 2026, with holiday-thinned volumes keeping price moves contained.
Early risk appetite was most visible in Asia, where Hong Kong and South Korea equities advanced on the back of strength in technology and semiconductor stocks, while closures in Japan and mainland China limited regional liquidity.
Crypto traders are watching for signs that Bitcoin can turn this calm into upside momentum after a choppy year-end.
Mudrex analyst Akshat Siddhant said long-term holder supply has turned positive for the first time in months, rising by about 10,700 BTC, while continued exchange outflows point to reduced selling pressure. He noted that a break above $89,500 could open the door to a move toward $100,000, with $87,000 acting as key support.
Broader markets echoed the cautious optimism, with US equity futures edging higher as enthusiasm around big tech and AI carried over from late 2025. Attention now shifts to US economic data delayed by the government shutdown, Federal Reserve rate expectations, and political risk tied to President Donald Trump’s expected decision on the next Fed chair.
Meanwhile, gold and silver extended strong gains, and the dollar began the year weaker after its steepest annual drop in eight years.
Levels & Events to Watch Next
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading near $88,980, stabilizing after a volatile end to 2025. The chart shows BTC rebounding from a late-November low around $85,000, followed by a period of sideways consolidation through December.
From a technical standpoint, $88,000–$88,500 has emerged as a key near-term support zone. A sustained hold above this area could allow BTC to test the upper boundary of the range near $90,000, with further resistance sitting around $92,000. A decisive break above that level would be needed to shift near-term momentum back in favor of bulls.
On the downside, a loss of $88,000 would likely bring $85,000 back into focus. Below that, a deeper pullback could open the door toward the $82,000–$83,000 region, which previously acted as a demand zone during the November selloff.
Ethereum, meanwhile, is trading around $3,024, showing early signs of stabilization after a sharp multi-month decline. The chart highlights a clear downtrend from September highs above $4,500, followed by a steep breakdown in November and choppy recovery attempts throughout December. ETH recently bounced from lows near $2,800, but upside momentum remains tentative.
For ETH, the $3,000–$3,050 area now acts as a critical pivot range. Holding above this zone could allow a move toward $3,200, with further resistance near $3,400 if momentum improves. On the downside, failure to defend $3,000 may send ETH back toward $2,800, with additional support around $2,700.
Meanwhile, crypto market sentiment remains cautious, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index still lodged in the fear zone. According to CoinMarketCap data shown in the chart, the index currently reads 34, underscoring a hesitant mood among investors despite recent stabilization in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices.
While sentiment has improved modestly from 27 last week, it remains well below neutral levels and far from the optimism seen earlier in 2025. The index is also sharply higher than last month’s extreme fear reading of 16, suggesting panic has eased, but confidence has yet to return.
There is no US spot ETF flow data for Jan. 1 due to the New Year market closure. The latest available figures reflect Dec. 31, the final trading day of 2025.
On that session, US Bitcoin spot ETFs ended the year with net outflows of $348.1 million, according to SoSoValue, despite solid activity with $2.83 billion in daily trading volume.
Outflows were led by BlackRock’s IBIT, which saw $99.05 million leave the fund, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $46.58 million in net outflows. Grayscale’s GBTC also continued to bleed assets, recording $69.09 million in outflows, while Ark & 21Shares’ ARKB posted $76.53 million in net redemptions.
Even with the daily pullback, cumulative net inflows into US BTC spot ETFs remain strong at $56.61 billion, with total net assets of $113.29 billion, representing about 6.47% of Bitcoin’s market cap.
US Ethereum spot ETFs also closed the year under pressure, posting $72.06 million in net outflows on Dec. 31, alongside $808.1 million in trading volume.
BlackRock’s ETHA led the outflows, seeing $21.51 million leave the fund, while Grayscale’s ETH product recorded $31.98 million in net redemptions. Fidelity’s FETH also posted smaller outflows of $2.22 million, reflecting broad-based caution across issuers.
Despite the day’s weakness, cumulative net inflows for US ETH spot ETFs stand at $12.33 billion, with total net assets of $17.95 billion, roughly 5% of Ethereum’s market capitalization.
Meanwhile, crypto-related losses from hacks and cybersecurity exploits fell sharply in December, dropping 60% month-on-month to about $76 million.
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