XRP Price: Ripple’s Extreme Oversold Setup Eyes $2.50 Rally

TLDR

• XRP trades near strong $1.90 support as momentum indicators signal extreme oversold conditions.
• Stochastic RSI below 20 historically preceded sharp XRP rebounds in prior cycles.
• Exchange supply drops sharply, pointing to reduced selling pressure and accumulation.
• A confirmed breakout above $2.50 could shift focus toward higher resistance zones.

Ripple (XRP) price is trading at a critical technical juncture as long-term indicators signal potential downside exhaustion. Price action has stabilized near major support zones, while on-chain data points to tightening supply. Analysts suggest that a confirmed recovery could shift focus toward the $2.50 level if broader market conditions cooperate.

XRP Price Hits Major Support as Momentum Weakens

According to analyst Steph Is Crypto, the weekly XRP against the USD chart shows price returning to a long-tested horizontal support near $1.90. This level has absorbed repeated sell-offs since mid-2024, reinforcing its significance. Despite lower highs, the structure suggests sellers may be losing control.

SOURCE: X

Moreover, momentum indicators are flashing extreme conditions. The Stochastic RSI has dropped below 20, marking one of the deepest oversold readings in recent cycles. Similar signals in late 2024 and mid-2025 preceded sharp rebounds, including the rally toward $4.50.

Additionally, the current XRP price remains compressed within this demand zone. A weekly close above $2.50 could neutralize bearish bias and open room toward $3.00. A breakdown below support would instead expose downside risk toward $1.50.

Exchange Supply Decline Signals XRP Price Accumulation Trend

In the meantime, on-chain data from analyst Master of Crypto highlights a steady decline in XRP balances held on exchanges. Over the past year, exchange supply has fallen from nearly 4 billion tokens to below 2 billion. This trend typically reflects reduced immediate selling pressure.

SOURCE: X

In addition, institutional activity appears to be influencing supply dynamics. ETFs are reported to have absorbed a large portion of circulating tokens, tightening available liquidity. Such conditions often amplify price reactions once demand returns.

Furthermore, the disconnect between falling supply and declining XRP price suggests accumulation during weakness. Historical market cycles show that prolonged exchange outflows often precede trend reversals. Risks remain if sudden inflows occur, though current data favors longer-term holders.

Daily Chart Shows XRP Awaiting Market Confirmation

Another analysis by analyst CryptoWZRD shows the daily XRP chart that is constrained within a descending structure. Price broke down from a channel in November but has since formed a potential base near $1.84. Recent daily closes reflect indecision rather than panic.

Moreover, the technical outlook remains tied to broader market dynamics. XRP price recovery is partially dependent on Bitcoin dominance easing, which would allow altcoins to regain relative strength. A shift in dominance could translate into renewed upside momentum.

SOURCE: X

Additionally, reclaiming resistance near $3.65 would significantly alter the trend structure. Such a move could project upside toward the $4.60–$4.70 region. Until confirmation appears, traders continue to monitor support near $1.60 for risk management.

XRP price remains positioned between strong technical support and unresolved trend resistance. Oversold signals and tightening supply suggest growing rebound potential. Market confirmation will likely determine whether stabilization evolves into a sustained recovery.

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