- BCA Research forecasts AI boom ending, major U.S. market impacts.
- Market downturn expected by mid-2026.
- Potential Federal Reserve rate cuts predicted.
BCA Research, led by Peter Berezin, released its “Return of Nasdog” report predicting a looming AI sector downturn by mid-2026, leading to a potential collapse in U.S. stock markets.
This prediction signals significant economic impacts, highlighting overinvestment risks in tech sectors, which could lead to accelerated Federal Reserve interest rate adjustments post-market downturn.
AI Investment Set to Decline, Tech Giants Warned
BCA Research’s new report, led by Peter Berezin, highlights a potential AI industry downturn by 2026. As the market adjusts, there will likely be significant changes across various sectors. Overinvestment in technology is now seen reaching levels reminiscent of the dotcom bubble.
BCA forecasts a downshift in economic activity alongside high depreciation costs of $400 billion annually. This burden on tech companies underscores current economic vulnerabilities. Furthermore, anticipated stock market corrections could impact global financial stability.
AI Market Comparisons to Dotcom Bubble Raise Concerns
Did you know? During the dotcom bubble, tech investments peaked to levels similar to those forecasted for 2025. The eventual bust led to widespread market impacts beginning in 2001.
Ethereum is trading at $2,962.63 with a 24-hour volume of $29.22 billion, reflecting a 5.93% drop in daily value, as per CoinMarketCap data. Its market cap sits at $357.57 billion, showing Ethereum’s significant role in the market amid fluctuating conditions.
Ethereum(ETH), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 12:13 UTC on December 16, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCapAccording to Coincu’s research, the consistent patterns in valuation shifts suggest a potential adjustment phase across global markets. Future developments in regulatory approaches to tech valuation may alter expected financial and economic forecasts.
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Source: https://coincu.com/analysis/ai-boom-end-2026-forecast/


