Robinhood Stock Forecast as a Key Metric Jumps to $31 Billion in 3 Years

Key Insights

• Robinhood stock price formed a big down gap after releasing its weak results.
• The ongoing crypto winter affected its growth trajectory.
• The stock will likely rebound as its retirement business soars.

Robinhood stock price crashed this week after the company published a weak financial report. This showed that its crypto business continued weakening amid the ongoing winter season.

HOOD ended the week at $73.6, down substantially from last year’s high of $154. Still, despite the retreat, some key metrics suggest that the business is doing well.

Robinhood Stock Dropped Despite Growing Options and Predictions Business

HOOD stock price dropped after earnings mainly because its crypto revenue and volume came in much lower than analysts expected. This shortfall raised concerns about its growth outlook and weighed heavily on investor sentiment.

This weakness was largely expected as Bitcoin and other altcoins remained in a narrow range during the first quarter. This led to a substantial decline in transaction volume. Its crypto revenue dropped to $134 million from $268 million.

Still, despite the weakness, some business segments continued doing well. It’s a sign that the company’s approach to diversification is working. For example, new trading solutions continued to gain traction among users.

The most notable one is its prediction marketplace. It executed 8.8 billion events contracts in the first quarter. That’s up from 8.5 billion in the fourth quarter of last year.

This division handed 0.3 billion transactions in the same period in 2025. Also, the management expects the trend to accelerate ahead of the US midterm elections.

The amount of futures contracts traded on the platform jumped to 20.1 million in the last quarter, up from 3.4 million last year.

Also, index options contracts rose to 29.4 million from 10.4 million last year. These are exceptional numbers as they are in the fastest-growing segments in the financial services industry.

Robinhood Retirement Growth Continues

Meanwhile, Robinhood is becoming a major player in the retirement industry. In an X post on Friday, Vlad Tenev, the CEO, highlighted that retirement assets under custody (AUC) surged to $31 billion. This milestone came just three years after the product was launched.

His statement is notable as the company revealed that the assets under custody stood at $27.4 billion in the last quarter.

The surge happened as the number of retirement accounts rose by 50% to 1.98 billion. This growth will likely continue growing after the Trump administration selected Robinhood for its Trump accounts.

Trump accounts are a product proposed in the Big Beautiful Bill. Parents will be able to invest in their kids’ accounts, with interested companies participating. Michael Dell will add $250 in each of these accounts.

The Trump accounts were a headwind in the recent report as the company boosted its investments in the solution. However, this headwind will eventually become a tailwind.

Analysts are optimistic that Robinhood’s businesses will return to growth in the coming years. The average estimate among analysts is that its revenue will jump by 20% in the current quarter to $1.19 billion. Its annual revenue will grow by 13% this year followed by 20% to $6.07 billion next year.

Robinhood Stock Price Prediction: Technical Analysis

The daily chart shows that the HOOD stock made a down-gap after publishing its weak financial report. It is now hovering near the key support at $65.47, its lowest level in March this year.

The stock has formed a megaphone pattern. That’s made up of an ascending trendline and a descending trendline that are diverging. It is a common bullish reversal sign. Also, the token has formed a down-gap, which will start being filled in the near term.

Therefore, If this prediction holds true, the stock will likely stage a strong recovery in the near term. It could climb toward the psychological level of $100.

This view will be confirmed when it moves above last month’s high $92. However, a drop below the key support at $65 will invalidate the bullish outlook.

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